@article{19264, keywords = {Cause of Death, Comorbidity, Cross Reactions, Disease Progression, Europe, Humans, Immunity, Active, Incidence, leprosy, Models, Statistical, Reproducibility of Results, Time Factors, Tuberculosis}, author = {Lietman T and Porco T and Blower S}, title = {Leprosy and tuberculosis: the epidemiological consequences of cross-immunity.}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVES: This study tested the hypothesis, first proposed by Chaussinand, that individual-level immunity acquired from exposure to tuberculosis may have contributed to the disappearance of leprosy from western Europe.

METHODS: The epidemiological consequences of cross-immunity were assessed by the formulation of a mathematical model of the transmission dynamics of tuberculosis and leprosy.

RESULTS: The conditions under which Mycobacterium tuberculosis could have eradicated Mycobacterium leprae were derived in terms of the basic reproductive rates of the two infections and the degree of cross-immunity.

CONCLUSIONS: If the degree of cross-immunity between two diseases within an individual is known, then the epidemiological consequences of this cross-immunity can be assessed with transmission modeling. The results of this analysis, in combination with previous estimates of the basic reproductive rate of tuberculosis and degree of cross-immunity, imply that tuberculosis could have contributed to the decline of leprosy if the basic reproductive rate of leprosy was low.

}, year = {1997}, journal = {American journal of public health}, volume = {87}, pages = {1923-7}, month = {1997 Dec}, issn = {0090-0036}, url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1381230/pdf/amjph00511-0021.pdf}, doi = {10.2105/ajph.87.12.1923}, language = {eng}, }